A halin yanzu kuna kallo Menene Black Swan? Mun bayyana taron Black Swan.
Black Swan, Black Swan, Koyi Cryptocurrencies

Menene baƙar fata? Mun bayyana taron Black Swan.

Karatun lokaci: <1 minti

Taron Black Swan, a cikin saukakkiyar hanya, lamari ne wanda ya zo da mamaki kuma yana da mahimmin tasiri.

Tarihin Ka'idar Black Swan - ko kuma Ka'idar Baƙin Black Swan na abubuwan da suka faru - ya samo asali ne daga bayanin Latin na karni na XNUMX da mawaƙin Roman Juvenal, lokacin da zai gabatar da wani abu kamar:

Rara avis a cikin terris nigroque simillima cygno

Zamu iya fassara wannan lafazin Latin din zuwa: "tsuntsu wanda ba kasafai yake kama da baƙar fata ba." Asali, lokacin da aka fara amfani da wannan kalmar, baƙar fata sun yi zaton ba su wanzu.

Sididdigar Black Swan ta ƙara haɓaka ta masanin lissafi da ɗan kasuwa Nassim Nicholas Taleb. A 2007 ya wallafa wani littafi mai suna Black Swan: Tasirin Babban Ingantawa, wanda yayi bayani kuma ya tsara ka'idar Black Swan. Ga hanyar haɗin yanar gizo don samun sa akan Amazon: LINK. Lura, ba tare da Turawa ba!

A cewar Taleb, abubuwan da ke faruwa na Black Swan gabaɗaya suna bin halaye uku:

  • Blackar baƙar fata wani yanayi ne. Ya wuce tsammanin yau da kullun kuma, saboda haka, babu wani abu a baya da zai iya annabta shi.
  • Yana da koyaushe matsananci tasiri ko mahimmanci.
  • Taron Black Swan, duk da cewa ba shi da tabbas, tabbas yana da ƙirar kirkirar kirkira bayan faruwarta ta farko, yana mai da irin wannan taron abin bayyana da hango nesa.

Misalan abubuwan da suka faru na Black Swan da suka gabata, kamar yadda Taleb ya bayyana, sune haɓakar intanet, kwamfutar mutum, ruguza Soviet Union, da harin 11 ga Satumba, 2001.