Mukuyang'ana Kodi Black Swan ndi Chiyani? Tikufotokoza chochitika cha Black Swan.
Black Swan, Swan Wakuda, Phunzirani Ma Cryptocurrencies

Kodi Black Swan ndi chiyani? Timalongosola chochitika cha Black Swan.

Nthawi yowerengera: <1 miniti

Chochitika cha Black Swan, m'njira yosavuta kwambiri, ndichinthu chomwe chimadabwitsa ndipo chimakhala ndi tanthauzo lalikulu, lofunikira.

Mbiri ya Black Swan Theory - kapena The Black Swan Theory of Events - idayamba zaka za m'ma XNUMX m'Chilatini ndi wolemba ndakatulo wachiroma Juvenal, pomwe zitha kukhala ngati:

Rara avis mu terris nigroque simillima cygno

Titha kumasulira mawu achilatini awa kukhala: "mbalame yosowa imakhala yofanana kwambiri ndi nsomba yakuda". Poyambirira, pamene mawuwa adagwiritsidwa ntchito koyamba, ma swans akuda amaganiza kuti kulibeko.

Lingaliro la Black Swan lidakopedwanso ndi wowerengera komanso wamalonda Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Mu 2007 adafalitsa buku lotchedwa The Black Swan: Mphamvu Zazikulu Kwambiri, yomwe idalongosola ndikupanga chiphunzitso cha Black Swan. Nayi njira yolumikizira ku Amazon: KULUMIKIZANA. Zindikirani, zilibe Kutumizidwa!

Malinga ndi Taleb, zochitika za Black Swan nthawi zambiri zimatsata zinthu zitatu:

  • Khansa Yakuda ndizovuta. Zili zoposa zomwe timayembekezera ndipo chifukwa chake, palibe chilichonse m'mbuyomu chomwe chikananeneratu.
  • Iye wakhala ali nthawizonse zimakhudza kwambiri kapena zofunikira.
  • Chochitika cha Black Swan, ngakhale sichikudziwikiratu, chidzakhaladi ndi malingaliro opangidwa pambuyo poti chichitike koyamba, ndikupangitsa kuti chochitikacho chikhale chosavuta komanso chodziwikiratu.

Zitsanzo za zochitika zam'mbuyomu za Black Swan, monga tafotokozera ndi Taleb, ndikukula kwa intaneti, kompyuta yanu, kutha kwa Soviet Union, komanso ziwopsezo za Seputembara 11, 2001.